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Take on Toby football picks: Week 3
Posted Wednesday, September 10, 2008, at 7:36 PM
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10-3 was a common mark among prognisticators in Week 2 of the Take on Toby football picks, with yours truly hitting that same number.

Five others tied with me, while two newcomers showed the way with their picks and zoomed up the points standings by beating me and the field.

"USC_2860" hit 11 of 13, misfiring only on Chaffee (as did all 14 pickers, not expecting the triple-overtime loss at Fulton County, Ky.) and picking Charleston over Sikeston in the 100th anniversary game. He wasn't the only one to go there, but only one other did.

"EpNation" missed on Chaffee and picked Perryville over De Soto, as did everyone else but "USC_2860."

Dexter's 40-20 loss to Gosnell (Ark.) was incorrectly forecasted by 10 of 14 prognosticators, and six pickers went with Parkway South to make Jackson 0-2.

Among those joining the group in Week 2, we say hello to "Hello," who topped last year's contest in wins (105) and winning percentage (.827), the only one to finish ahead of me in either category.

Here are the updated standings, in order of total won:

PrognosticatorThis WeekW-LPct.POINTS
jean_valjean10-322-5.8152.5
semohoops10-322-5.8152.5
Missco10-320-7.7411.5
justasportsfan10-320-7.7411.5
Iliketoeat9-419-8.7041
bigred650910-319-8.7041.5
Toby Carrig10-318-9.667--
hugh m bean9-418-9.6671
semograd719-417-10.6300.5
FreyGuys0-011-3.7861
USC_286011-211-2.8462
EpNation11-211-2.8462
Hello9-49-4.6920
eagleonfield-devilatheart9-49-4.6920
Oschemer8-58-50.6150

On to Week 3 ...

... and this isn't going to be easy.

Beginning with the Southeast Missouri State game against Tennessee Tech, with kickoff less than 24 hours away, it's going to be a tough week.

I checked the Massey Ratings Web site to see what it thought of the high school games. It also thinks the games will be close: the projected scores on the high school games include two ties, Potosi at New Madrid County Central and Dexter at Sikeston; while Caruthersville is listed as a "four-point favorite," for lack of a better term.

I'm taking the home team in all three, and I don't think I would have taken Sikeston over Dexter if you asked me a week ago.

Interestingly, the Massey Ratings also list Tennessee Tech as the No. 2 team in the FCS (formerly I-AA). So, take that for what it's worth.

With SEMO at home, and Tennessee Tech having lost some secondary players, I'll take the Redhawks in a shootout, 45-31.

I also like Chaffee to spoil Crystal City's debut on its new artificial surface, since the Hornets have lost a lot of talent from last year.

East Prairie-Scott City also should be a good clash, considering Scott City's defense (1 TD allowed in two games) against East Prairie running back M.C. Williams, who scored five last week.

Another tricky one to pick is a battle of unbeatens: Hayti takes its young, speedy team to Kennett, which has veterans in Blake Parr and Jarvis Finley.

St. Vincent travels to Valle to try to extend its success in the rivalry, but the Warriors are coming off an impressive win against city rival Ste. Genevieve.

This could be a week that separates prep insiders from those who outsmart themselves, or it could be the week I just get my lunch handed to me.

Here are my picks. You can add yours in the comments. Good luck.

Thursday

Tennessee Tech at SEMOSEMO

Friday

Chaffee at Crystal CityChaffee
Scott City at East PrairieScott City
Hayti at KennettHayti
Thayer at MaldenThayer
Portageville at CharlestonCharleston
Piggott (Ark.) at CaruthersvilleCaruthersville
Dexter at SikestonSikeston
Potosi at New Madrid CountyNMCC
Blytheville (Ark.) at Cape CentralBlytheville (Ark.)
Jackson at Gateway TechJackson
Hannibal at Poplar BluffPoplar Bluff
Perryville at Ste. GenevieveSte. Genevieve
St. Vincent at ValleValle


Comments
Showing comments in chronological order
[Show most recent comments first]

Semo

Crystal City

Scott City

Hayti

Thayer

Charleston

Caruthersville

Sikeston

NMCC

Blytheville

Jackson

Poplar Bluff

Ste. Gen

Valle

-- Posted by Hello on Wed, Sep 10, 2008, at 9:04 PM

Tennessee Tech

Chaffee

Scott City

Hayti

Thayer

Charleston

Piggott

Dexter

NMCC

Blytheville

Jackson

Poplar Bluff

Ste. Genevieve

Valle

-- Posted by bigred6509 on Wed, Sep 10, 2008, at 9:10 PM

Tennessee Tech

Crystal City

Scott City

Hayti

Thayer

Charleston

Piggott

NMCC

Blytheville

Jackson

Poplar Bluff

Ste. Gen

Valle

-- Posted by wideout23 on Wed, Sep 10, 2008, at 9:25 PM

-- Posted by stlfanin501 on Wed, Sep 10, 2008, at 9:27 PM

Tech

Crystal City

Scott City

Hayti

Thayer

Charleston

Piggot

Sikeston

NMCC

Blytheville

Jackson

P.B.

Ste. Gen

Valle

-- Posted by stlfanin501 on Wed, Sep 10, 2008, at 9:31 PM

Semo

Chaffee

Scott City

Kennett

Thayer

Charleston

Piggott

Sikeston

NMCC

Blytheville

Jackson

Poplar Bluff

Ste. Gen

Valle

-- Posted by Iliketoeat on Wed, Sep 10, 2008, at 10:36 PM

tech

chaffee

scot city

hayti

thayer

charelston

caruthersville

sikeston

NMCC

blytheville

jackson

PB

st. gen

valle

-- Posted by justasportsfan on Wed, Sep 10, 2008, at 11:29 PM

SEMO

Crystal City

Scott City

Hayti

Thayer

Charleston

Piggott

Sikeston

NMCC

Blytheville

Jackson

Poplar Bluff

Ste. Genevieve

Valle

-- Posted by semohoops on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 8:39 AM

I'm changing my pick....I'm taking Hannibal over PB.

-- Posted by semohoops on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 8:55 AM

SEMO

Chaffee

East Prairie (Am i the only believer?)

Thayer

Charleston

Caruthersville

Sikeston

NMCC

Blytheville Ark.

Jackson

Poplar Bluff

St. Genevieve

Valle

-- Posted by EpNation on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 9:03 AM

EpNation,

I believe....

-- Posted by semofootball on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 9:15 AM

I believe the Eagles are gonna get their butts handed Friday night!

Give me a break! Who in their right mind would pick EP over Scott City?

The Rams are gonna humiliate the Eagles on their own field in front of their families.

Instead of playing well and making their mommas proud, the Eagles are gonna drown in a lake of shame poured on by the Scott City Rams defense!

42-6 Rams

MC Williams will have less than 50 yards rushing.

Eagles will once again give up a ton of points and a ton of yards! They are too weak up the middle!

-- Posted by semofootball on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 9:20 AM

Tennessee Tech

Crystal City

East Prairie

Hayti

Thayer

Charleston

Caruthersville

Sikeston

Potosi

Blytheville (Ark.)

Gateway Tech

Hannibal

Ste. Genevieve

Valle

-- Posted by jean__valjean on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 10:19 AM

Chaffee over Crystal City

East Prairie over Scott City

Hayti over Kennett

Thayer over Malden

Charleston over Portageville

Caruthersville over Piggett, Ark

Dexter over Sikeston

NMCC over Potosi

Blytheville over Cape

Jackson over Gateway

Poplar Bluff over Hannible

Perryville over St. Gen

Valle over St. Vincent

-- Posted by USC_2860 on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 10:40 AM

Almost forgot Tech over SEMO

-- Posted by USC_2860 on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 10:41 AM

Semofootball,

While you do have your right to post your opinion, I will ask that you refrain from making anymore negative comments about our team. They are young men participating in a sport. They do not deserve your scrutiny or malicious commentary. Their lives do not begin or end with this contest on Friday night nor do we expect them to place such an extreme emphasis on the game, as you have yourself. I have noticed in previous posts, you seem to have a personal issue with the East Prairie Eagles. I hope you will soon feel you can move on and forget past transgressions that have worked you into such a frenzy. Life is too short for grudges.

These young men spend hour upon hour preparing for games. They work hard at what they do, while folks like you sit in a cubicle behind a keyboard judging them. Your comments are unnecessary and they do not have anyplace in high school athletics. So before you make any other comments, think of who you are affecting. These are high school kids…not paid athletes.

To all high school athletes:

Do not pay attention to people like "Semofootball". They more than likely do not understand the type of commitment it takes to participate in any extra-curricular activities. Keep working hard…good things will come your way.

-- Posted by eaglefootball on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 11:08 AM

Gotta make up some ground this week!! Here we go:

Crystal City

Scott City

Kennett

Thayer

Charleston

Caruthersville

Dexter

NMCC

Cape Central

Jackson

Hannibal

Ste. Genevieve

Valle

SEMO over Tech

-- Posted by Oschemer on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 12:12 PM

Tech over SEMO (alumni at mizzou game last week)

Crystal City over Chaffee

Scott City over EP

Hayti over Kennett

Thayer over Malden

Charleston over Portageville

Caruthersville over sooey pig

Sikeston over Dexter

NMCC over Potosi

Blytheville over Cape Central (alumni)

Jackson over Gateway Tech Juvenile Home

PB over Hannibal Lector

St Gen over Perryville

Valle over St Vincent(which team has God on their side?)

-- Posted by semograd71 on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 12:44 PM

tech

crystal city

scott city

hayti

thayer

charleston

c'ville

sikeston

nmcc

blytheville

jackson

hannibal

st. gen

valle

-- Posted by myershallred on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 1:16 PM

EPnation,

You are one short on your picks.

Hayti / Kennett

-- Posted by Iliketoeat on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 3:43 PM

Chaffee

Scott City

Hayti

Thayer

Charleston

Piggott

Dexter

NMCC

Blytheville (Ark.)

Jackson

Poplar Bluff

Perryville

Valle

-- Posted by eagleonfeild-devilatheart on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 6:28 PM

Hey semofootball scott citys coach evidently is not that good because his overall record is 12-27. With a record like that i am not sure his defense is very good. Stats don't lie.

-- Posted by tarheels08 on Thu, Sep 11, 2008, at 6:33 PM

Thanks for the reminder....

I'll take Hayti in convincing fashion over Kennett.

-- Posted by EpNation on Fri, Sep 12, 2008, at 8:29 AM

Chaffee

East Prairie

Hayti

Thayer

Charleston

Piggott (Ark.)

Sikeston

NMCC

Blytheville (Ark.)

Jackson

Poplar Bluff

Ste. Genevieve

Valle

-- Posted by stofva on Fri, Sep 12, 2008, at 3:41 PM

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHSCSUCKSHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Dear semofootball, thank you for taking the burden off everyone elses shoulders and being the biggest jerk in the southeast missouri area. I seriously cant wait to see what you have to say in week five when your head will probably balloon up again when the red devils come to town. If you noticed I skipped week 4 because a prick like you wouldnt dare mouth a team that he knows WILL give them a beating. Congrats on the coming off your ego trip, its bout damn time.

-- Posted by eagleonfeild-devilatheart on Sun, Sep 14, 2008, at 9:04 PM

semofootball is very good at providing bulletin board material.

-- Posted by Larry Doby on Mon, Sep 15, 2008, at 8:45 AM

Do you really think I'm from Scott City? If you'll check previous posts, I chose Chaffee over Scott City (i assume that is the game you are referring to) when schedules were posted in the preseason. I mentioned they might have some defensive problems with May being gone. They played two tough opponents the last two weeks (though I did expect them to win at Fulton Co.) While I was surprised by the thumping the the Eagles gave the Rams...stuff like that happens. Sometimes morons shoot off at the mouth...hell, the way I figure...it's a 50/50 call. They either win or they lose. Let's be honest with ourselves here. Do you really think Chaffee WILL put a beating on Scott City. The difference in the EP/Scott City game was obvious speed. As far as speed goes, Chaffee and Scott City match up very well. This game should be a lot like last year. They both are similar upfront...though Chaffee does appear to have the upperhand. The only live games I've seen of both were Scott City vs. Malden and Chaffee at Fulton. QB-wise, Horrell is much better than Page. Horrell controls his offense better and he has better zip and touch on his passes. Defense...Scott City looks good. Other than the fall apart this week, they've only allowed 6 points the first two weeks. Chaffee allowed 8 against a horrible Grandview team. Scott City's RBs,I think #27 could be a great threat if he got the ball more. run well, but so do Chaffee's. #34 and #31 are both formidable threats for the Devils. If I were Scott City, I would be more concerned about Chaffee's "Bone" set. From what I've heard, EP pounded the ball on them all night. Like I stated earlier, I'm not from Scott City. I just posted what I felt would happen. I'll certainly be at your Week 5 matchup. It should be a good one. I think Scott City has the emotional edge though...I would have to say the score would be...c'mon, if you guys get this worked up over a game you're not involved in...I'll just keep it to myself. Good luck devils and rams.

-- Posted by semofootball on Mon, Sep 15, 2008, at 12:49 PM


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