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Take on Toby football picks: Week 4 (Can it be any worse than last week?)
Posted Wednesday, September 17, 2008, at 5:09 PM
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OK, Week 3 did not get off to a good start for me when I picked Southeast Missouri State to beat Tennessee Tech, and the Redhawks lost the Ohio Valley Conference opener at home 29-27.

To compound matters, I was accurate on only six of 13 high school picks. That's not a very good percentage.

I had some company, though most of the prognosticators beat me, and they picked up the one point for doing so. That's probably a good thing as four newcomers joined the ranks in Week 3, so my being beatable gives them a chance to catch up in the points race.

However, the real story of Week 3 is "Jean_Valjean," who was a ridiculous 12-2 on his picks. The next-closest was nine, so the 12-correct total stands out.

"Jean" was tripped up by Hayti's one-point loss at Kennett, which fooled everyone but "Oschemer" and "Iliketoeat." And "Jean" picked Caruthersville over Piggott (Ark.), which was correctly picked by seven of the 16 forecasters last week.

"Jean" was the lone forecaster to take Gateway Tech over Jackson (a 14-7 decision) and Potosi over New Madrid County Central, and one of the few to hit on Hannibal over Poplar Bluff, Crystal City over Chaffee and the East Prairie beating of Scott City. Impressive work (and a bonus point for standing alone atop the field).

The Scott City-East Prairie game was the subject of many comments last week. Only 4 of 16 tabbed East Prairie. I thought it would be a tight one, but the Eagles went wild with a 35-0 victory (five touchdowns and 259 yards rushing for M.C. Williams).

Here are the updated standings. (I was wrong on just 26 games last year our of 100-plus games, so this 17 wrong total has me worried.)

PrognosticatorLast WeekTOT W-LPct.POINTS
jean_valjean12-234-7.8294.5
semohoops9-531-10.7563.5
justasportsfan7-727-14.6592.5
Iliketoeat8-627-14.6592
bigred65097-726-15.6342.5
semograd718-625-16.6101.5
Toby Carrig6-824-17.585--
Missco--20-7.7411.5
hugh m bean--18-9.6671
EpNation7-718-9.6673
USC_28606-817-10.6302.5
Hello7-716-11.5931
Oschemer7-715-12.5560.5
eagleonfield-devilatheart5-814-12.5380
FreyGuys--11-3.7861
stlfanin5019-59-5.6430.5
myershallred9-59-5.6430.5
wideout238-58-5.6150.5
stofva8-58-5.6150.5

On to Week 4

And it can't come fast enough for me.

We will see if I've learned anything from the last few weeks.

Tempted to go out on one limb with Perryville (1-2) hosting a meeting of Class 3 schools in Friday's battle with Park Hills Central (2-1).

(Missouri games will return to the list when the Tigers get back to playing BCS conference schools.)

Friday night high school games

Festus St. Pius at ChaffeeChaffee
East Prairie at KennettKennett
Caruthersville at HaytiHayti
Malden at PortagevilleMalden
Scott City at FredericktownFredericktown
New Madrid County Central at CharlestonNMCC
Poplar Bluff at DexterPoplar Bluff
Cape Central at FarmingtonFarmington
Sikeston at JacksonJackson
St. Vincent at MaplewoodMaplewood
Park Hills Central at PerryvillePark Hills Central

Saturday's college game

Missouri State at SEMOMissouri State

Make your picks in the comments.

Comments
Showing comments in chronological order
[Show most recent comments first]

Chaffee

Kennett

Hayti

Malden

Fredericktown

NMCC

Poplar Bluff

Farmington

Jackson

Maplewood

Park Hills Central

Missouri State

-- Posted by bigred6509 on Wed, Sep 17, 2008, at 6:20 PM

chaffee

kennet

hayti

malden

fredricktown

NMCC

poplar bluff

farmington

sikeston

maplewood

park hills

missouri state

-- Posted by justasportsfan on Wed, Sep 17, 2008, at 9:10 PM

Chaffee

Kennett

Hayti

Malden

Fredericktown

NMCC

Poplar Bluff

Farmington

Jackson

Maplewood

Park Hills Central

Semo

-- Posted by Iliketoeat on Wed, Sep 17, 2008, at 10:11 PM

Festus St. Pius

Kennett

Hayti

Malden

Fredericktown

NMCC

Poplar Bluff

Farmington

Jackson

Maplewood

Central

-- Posted by stofva on Wed, Sep 17, 2008, at 11:55 PM

MSU over SEMO (wife and I SEMO alumni-4 children

graduated from MSU-Civil War game)

Chaffee

Kennett

Hayti

Malden

Fredricktown

NMCC

PBluff

Farmington

Jackson

Maplewood

PHCentral

-- Posted by semograd71 on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 7:08 AM

Festus St. Pius over Chaffee

East Prairie over Kennett

Hayti over C'Ville

Malden over Portageville

Fredericktown over Scott city

NMCC over Charleston

Poplar Bluff over Dexter

Farmington over Cape

Jackson over sikeston

Maplewood over St. vincent

Park Hills over Perryville

-- Posted by semo7178 on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 7:51 AM

Chaffee

Kennett

Hayti

Malden

Fredericktown

NMCC

Poplar Bluff

Farmington

Jackson

Maplewood

Park Hills Central

Missouri State

-- Posted by Hello on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 8:22 AM

i have a feeling sikeston at jackson could be a fun one. jackson has pretty solid defense every year, and sikeston definitely has some big playmakers on offense this year. jackson has had trouble scoring, but that's against tough competition. sikeston's defense hasn't been that solid this year. jackson's adam zweigart may have a big game. sikeston's eli jackson is averaging 165/game on the ground. how long has it been since sikeston beat jackson? how long has it been since sikeston won AT jackson? do you have stats on that, toby?

-- Posted by yah-yah on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 8:28 AM

Sikeston beat Jackson in the 2002 season at Jackson.

-- Posted by jean__valjean on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 9:08 AM

I forgot about the 2002 win. So, it's only been two straight losses AT Jackson (2004 and 2006). I wonder what the all-time series W-L is.

-- Posted by yah-yah on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 9:36 AM

Chaffee

Kennett

Hayti

Malden

Fredericktown

NMCC

Poplar Bluff

Farmington

Jackson

Maplewood

Park Hills Central

Missouri State

-- Posted by eagleonfeild-devilatheart on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 9:50 AM

Took a beating last week, Great picks last week jean_valjean! Let's see if I can better you this week....

Chaffee

Kennett

Hayti

Malden

Fredricktown

NMCC

Poplar Bluff

Farmington

Sikeston *Upset Special*

Maplewood

Perryville

Missouri State

-- Posted by EpNation on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 10:01 AM

I'm not sure of the all-time series record Sikeston has against Jackson, but at one time Sikeston was way ahead in the series by more than 20 games. Jackson has closed the gap in the last 10 to 12 years. They've closed the gap or widened the gap on pretty much everybody in that stretch. Jackson has clearly set the standard for football in the SEMO area since 1994.

-- Posted by semohoops on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 10:23 AM

Chaffee

Kennett

Hayti

Malden

Fredericktown

NMCC

Poplar Bluff

Farmington

Jackson

Maplewood

Park Hills Central

Southwest Missouri State (I refuse to change the name)

-- Posted by semohoops on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 10:26 AM

Festus St. Pius at Chaffee-St. Pius

East Prairie at Kennett-East Prairie

Caruthersville at Hayti-Hayti

Malden at Portageville-Malden

Scott City at Fredericktown-Fredericktown

New Madrid County Central at Charleston-NMCC

Poplar Bluff at Dexter-Poplar Bluff

Cape Central at Farmington-Farmington

Sikeston at Jackson-Jackson

St. Vincent at Maplewood-Maplewood

Park Hills Central at Perryville-Park Hills Central

Missouri State

-- Posted by USC_2860 on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 11:19 AM

well I know I have no chance of winning the whole thing but I figured why not?

Chaffee

Kennett

Hayti

Malden

Fredericktown

NMCC

Poplar Bluff

Farmington

Sikeston

Maplewood

Park Hills Central

Missouri State

-- Posted by reddevil1 on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 11:21 AM

Chaffee

Kennett

Hayti

Malden

Fredericktown

NMCC

Poplar Bluff

Farmington

Jackson

Maplewood

Park Hills Central

Missouri St.

-- Posted by jean__valjean on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 11:31 AM

Chaffee

East Prairie

hayti

Malden

Scott City

NMCC

Poplar Bluff

farmington

Sikeston

Maplewood

Park Hills

Mo State

-- Posted by bbjunkie on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 3:37 PM

st. pius

kennett

hayti

malden

f-town

nmcc

bluff

farmington

jackson

maplewood

park hills

mo state

-- Posted by stlfanin501 on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 5:21 PM

I forgot to pick the Redhawks game: Mo. State over SEMO (unfortunately!) I hope I miss that one!

-- Posted by semo7178 on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 5:34 PM

Chaffee

Kennett

Hayti

Malden

fredericktown

NMCC

Poplar Bluff

Sikeston

maplewood

Park Hills

Missour State

I thought I posted picks for last week. Oh well.

-- Posted by Missco on Thu, Sep 18, 2008, at 9:01 PM

missouri state

-- Posted by stofva on Fri, Sep 19, 2008, at 2:33 AM

-- Posted by Oschemer on Fri, Sep 19, 2008, at 12:13 PM

East Prarie Doesnt Have A Chance Against That Kennett Ballclub...You Can Argue They Havent Played Anyone, But Last Week Against Hayti I Seen A Pretty Hight Octaine Offense!! That Parr And Finley Kid...Are Heck Of Athletes!Going With Kennett- 42-14

-- Posted by semo_fan on Fri, Sep 19, 2008, at 12:31 PM

The eagle's maynot have a chance but if they show up and play like last week you will want to watch the show!!!

-- Posted by oldeagle on Fri, Sep 19, 2008, at 1:15 PM

Here we go:

Chaffee

Kennett

Hayti

Fredericktown

NMCC

Dexter

Cape Central

Jackson

St. Vincent

Park Hills Central

-- Posted by Oschemer on Fri, Sep 19, 2008, at 1:19 PM

St. Pius

East Prairie

Hayti

Malden

Fredricktown

New Madrid County Central

The Bluff

Farmington

Jackson

St. Vincent

Park Hills Central

-- Posted by oldeagle on Fri, Sep 19, 2008, at 2:08 PM

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