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Shaken, not stirred - Jocketty, the Cards and the futurePosted Thursday, October 4, 2007, at 9:58 PM
A series of events converged in the mid 1990's and the St. Louis Cardinals have reaped the dividends ever since. All the following took place in the 1994-1996 timeframe.
Since all those elements have been in place, the Cardinals have enjoyed postseason play seven times, played in two World Series and won one. Whatever piece was most important to this puzzle, we're about to find out. As I'm sure you've heard, piece A is gone and part B may soon follow. Can C and the benefit of D put Humpty Dumpty back together again? A few things are clear out of this. DeWitt doesn't have much tolerance if you're miserable in your job and you don't play well in the sandbox with others. Fair or not, a GM is only as good as his last few deals. Jocketty's moves the last few seasons were all done with the ghost of Dan Haren haunting the franchise. A fractured front office has plagued the team for the past couple of years. One month of great baseball in October of 2006 only postponed the inevitable. A substantial shakeup was necessary and that's exactly what we're getting. On Monday, two days before Jocketty was terminated, the Cardinals brass gathered in St. Louis for an analysis of the team's needs for next season. Here's how the Post-Dispatch described it the following day.
Take a look around the National League and look at some of the numbers put up by shortstops this season: Jose Reyes in New York, Jimmy Rollins in Philadelphia, and Hanley Ramirez in Florida are stars in the league. If Colorado's Troy Tulowitzki doesn't win the National League Rookie of the Year, it's only because of the sensational numbers put up by Ryan Braun in Milwaukee. Braun's teammate, shortstop J.J. Hardy is 25 years old. Arizona's Stephen Drew has plenty of promise and is only of 24. Tulowitzki won't turn 23 until next week. Reyes, Rollins and Ramirez are all under 30. Coincidence or not, five of their six teams finished either first or second. Three of them made the playoffs. In addition, with the exception of Ramirez, who came up in the Red Sox system, all of the above are homegrown. Youthful products of the farm system -- something sorely lacking in St. Louis. Eckstein will be 33 next season. While he's a fan favorite and always hustles, he's also injury-plagued, possesses a weak arm and has limited range. And the Cardinals spent "a lot" of time talking about how they wanted him back. If that doesn't set off alarm bells about the mindset of management, I don't know what does. Jocketty and La Russa have been burned by their loyalty to veterans the past few years -- the re-signing of Mark Mulder and the extension given to Jim Edmonds come to mind. The GM, at least, won't get the chance to do it again. I wrote last month that DeWitt and company are driving this bus. Well, they just booted off a prominent passenger. Who will they decide to pick up? The road between now and spring training of 2008 should make for a fascinating ride. Comments Showing comments in chronological order [Show most recent comments first] |
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I agree with your comments regarding Eckstein. It is time to put aside the warm fuzzies and start hunting for another piece of the puzzle. I like Ryan at SS. He shows some potential and I think he would fill Eck's spot real well. The same alarms that went off whenever the Cards were satisfied with signing Wells and using relievers to fill the gaps sounded whenever I read about Eck.
However, I am not one to ditch the vets strategy yet. The vets are all that we have...we don't have a farm. You can't blame the Cards for a reliever rotation this year. There was no one to bring up to help the rotation (and we had an owner unwilling to increase the budget). Look at how often the Cards brought Reyes back and forth. He was easily one of the worse pitchers in the NL this year. If they had good farm system, then they wouldn't have put Anthony and the team through the agony of seeing him lose time after time.
But what do you do when you don't have the farm to back you up? You rely on vets. The farm isn't strong enough for the team to abandon the vets yet. It could take awhile to build up a farm system. The fans do not have the patience to go through a rebuilding phase. We want a contender every year, not every 4 years. And with the Cards "rebuilding" the fans will stop packing the stadium (which is the source of the income for the franchise) and the money will not flow.
Besides it is insulting for the Cards not to have a higher payroll than they did last year. The Cardinals are 11th in payroll in the MLB and 5th in highest ticket prices. Where is the money going? Lining the wallets of DeWitt is where it is going. DeWitt promised to spend more money during the coming offseason. He promised that last year too. And all we got was Wells and Kennedy. Thanks a lot DeWitt, thanks a heap.
...and to pay off the new stadium...
Excellent piece of work, MM.
The days of trading for premium veterans with mid-level prospects (Jocketty's strength as a GM) are long gone. And because of the new revenue sharing rules, even small market teams are in the hunt for free agents, driving up the prices for mediocre veterans.
As a result, consistent, long-term success requires a strong farm system. DeWitt understands this and has devoted more resources to scouting and player development. Under Luhnow, the farm system has gone from ****-poor to halfway decent in a couple of years. But even more resources need to be infused into these areas.
Jocketty clearly didn't like the direction the Cardinals were heading in and also apparently felt threatened by Luhnow. He moaned and groaned about the situation pretty much all year and helped created a negative, unproductive environment in the front office.
Either Jocketty or Luhnow had to go. Canning Luhnow and keeping Jocketty would have been the end of the renewed emphasis on player development. DeWitt made the right decision, and I can't believe Jocketty was surprised by it. It was clear he had lost the battle months ago, but he kept fighting it. Deep down, he's got to be glad this is over.
It's time for both him and the Cardinals to move on.
The Cards still need to have veterans on their team, though. Kids need some adults to look up to. Or else you have a team of Brendan Ryans.
It is going to be very interesting to see if DeWitt is indeed aggressive as he plans to be. Of course his aggressiveness is all relative. I think TLR knows this as well as Jocketty. That is why I wouldn't be surprised if the Cardinals become perennial losers.
The Cardinals farm system may not be up to par with some other teams, but Jocketty trumped that with amazing deals over the years. How can you dump a guy that build a World Series title team and numerous other playoff teams? My only problem with him was he let Suppan, Marquis, and Weaver go. People didn't shed many tears when this happened, but I knew it was a mistake. They were key components of a championship team. I wouldn't be so quick to abandon Eckstein. He was only World Series MVP for crying out loud. I understand that he's 33, but he may have a few good years left. Besides, they have Ryan being groomed for the future. The biggest problem for the Cards is getting the pitchers back healthy. If that happens, the Cards will be back in contention.
Eckstein was the MVP last year. If the Tigers had a defense, then I doubt the Eckstein would be the MVP. But Eck is getting old and is a poor fielder in comparison to many others in the MLB.
Personally, I think Rolen and Edmonds are damaged goods. Eckstein might have a couple years left. It may be time to go with a youth movement and build around Pujols.