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La Russa, Centaurs, & Icebergs
Posted Tuesday, October 23, 2007, at 8:41 AM
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On the same day the St. Louis Cardinals trumpeted the return of manager Tony La Russa, baseball guru Bill James was heralding a “historic bubble” in Major League Baseball.

What do the two have to do with one another?

One is about the fate of an organization. The other is about the future of the game.

'We are sitting in a historic bubble of young talent,” James is quoted in a press release for the 2008 edition of his book. “Arguably there is more outstanding young talent around right now than at any other moment in baseball history.”

The Hardball Times expounds on that thesis in an article posted to its site on Monday.

Scroll down to the bottom of the piece and you’ll find James’ list of the top young talents in the game (explanation here). All of them are 26 or younger. More than half the players are less than 24 years old. Out of the 25 guys on the list, 16 of them call the National League home.

If you want to know why former G.M. Walt Jocketty lost power and V.P. of player development Jeff Luhnow has gained prominence, take a look at those names. Not a single player listed wears the birds on the bat.

That will hopefully change in the coming years, but the transition won’t be easy. Luhnow and La Russa make an odd couple (according to today’s Post-Dispatch, the two have had “limited contact”).

The next Cardinals GM will be confronted with the baseball equivalent of a centaur. The face of the organization will be lawyer La Russa. But its fresh arms and legs will be supplied by former McKinsey consultant Luhnow.

One half wants to focus on re-signing David Eckstein and bringing back So Taguchi. The other half would prefer to examine things like VORP, WARP and BABIP.

One side is pleased that pitcher Joel Pineiro is back in the fold. The other side could mount considerable evidence that Pineiro doesn’t represent progress at all.

One camp screams for DeWitt to open DeWallet (to cite one annoying phrase). The other camp points out while more money may make Tony’s veggie sandwich go down a little easier, it doesn’t necessarily lead to more victories. It’s not always the amount of money that’s spent -- it’s how you spend your money.

And so it goes, on and on, back and forth. Can this logjam be broken?

I think it depends on the GM. If it’s interim man John Mozeliak, La Russa has little incentive to change. If it’s someone from the outside, say Chris Antonetti from Cleveland, I think a shift in the organization will slowly begin to take hold.

In that scenario, the proper metaphor is no longer a centaur but an iceberg. La Russa is the visible tip but the real power and mass is consolidated below the surface, out of site from the Busch Stadium stands.

Will it be smooth sailing or will Cardinals fans need Dramamine in 2008? Captain DeWitt’s next move should tell us a lot.


Comments
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Something tells me that Mike is not pleased that TLR is back with the Cards.

The way I see it, the Cards had no choice. Why go elsewhere if you could have the 3rd best coach in the history of the game and the best coach of the Cardinal franchise?

It is obvious that DeWitt is saying that we want to be winners NOW rather than LATER. A young club is only fun to watch every three years (as the talent recycles itself - nurture them as they get better, trade them when they want more money, nurture more players...you get the idea). A veteran TLR team is always fun to watch and will constantly pack the stands. And that is what DeWitt cares about - his DeWallet getting padded with the DeMoney.

So what if TLR is not familiar with the logician named Luhnow? Baseball lends itself more to the intangibles. Sure, there are considerable number of players that "got away". But what of the supposed "stars" that never developed into being much (Bud Smith anyone?)

No...winning will continue. And that is the Cardinal Tradition. Just like losing is the Cub Tradition.

-- Posted by mattstl77 on Tue, Oct 23, 2007, at 10:02 AM

Well said DeMatt.

-- Posted by TheCamp on Tue, Oct 23, 2007, at 12:52 PM

How have you not seen that mike is president of the fire tony fan club? He has always been like this since the website started. He is part of that VERY small fraction on cardinals fans that will not be happy with anybody.

-- Posted by richiro33 on Tue, Oct 23, 2007, at 1:47 PM

No Cardinal fan wants the team to "go young" by slashing payroll and getting rid of high-priced veteran players. But I think a lot of fans want to see young players get a chance instead of under performing veterans like Wells, Kennedy, Edmonds, etc. With the Cardinals payroll, they can afford to have a mix of promising young players and key veterans. The Cardinals have a wave of young talent that will be pushing for big-league playing time by the end of 2008. The question remains to be will Tony give them the opportunity. He said that he wants to, but let's see how his actions match his words.

-- Posted by semolefty on Tue, Oct 23, 2007, at 3:35 PM

The Cardinals unfortunately don't have the talent to be winners NOW and unless DeWitt opens DeWallet to sign at least 2-3 high dollar free agents(which is highly unlikely) the team will be even worse next season. Right now we only have three players (Pujols, Duncan & Wainwright) that I would place an even bet on being an above average major league players next season.

Bringing Tony La Russa back is just delaying the inevitable. With him back on board the Cardinals will just waste more money signing a few old retread pitchers and a scrappy utility player or two. TLR is an all-time great but I don't think he is a good fit for the current Cardinals roster. I would have loved to have seen a guy like John Farrell, Trey Hillman (KC snatched him) or Joe Girardi get the job to see if they could take the club in a new direction. Under TLR it will just be full speed ahead into an even worse 2008.

-- Posted by Nil on Tue, Oct 23, 2007, at 3:51 PM

larrussa was not the best coach to put on a cardinal uniform. does any one remember WHITEY BALL.

-- Posted by justasportsfan on Tue, Oct 23, 2007, at 6:26 PM

What was Whitey's winning percentage in comparison to TLR's?

-- Posted by mattstl77 on Tue, Oct 23, 2007, at 7:02 PM

I'd argue that the shift in the organization has already taken hold. It began with Luhnow's hiring in 2003 and has been developing momentum ever since as Luhnow has been granted more and more power.

No matter who gets the GM job, the emphasis on scouting and player development will continue. DeWitt understands that the long-term success of the franchise depends upon it, and I don't think La Russa or anyone else is going to sidetrack his plan to rely more heavily on internally produced talent.

The Cardinals built their tradition on the strongest farm system in baseball. From the '20s (thank you, Branch Rickey) through the '80s, the Cardinals devoted more energy and resources to player development than any other team in the Major Leagues. That's why there are more championship flags flying in St. Louis than in any other NL city.

The Cardinals' player development began to fall into disrepair in the '90s. Jocketty deserves credit for building a very good club without a solid farm system, but baseball's economics have changed, making a repeat of such a performance exceedingly unlikely.

Like him or not, DeWitt has been a strong owner for the Cardinals, and I think he'll be able to make the transition, now underway, successfully.

-- Posted by unclegrubworm on Wed, Oct 24, 2007, at 12:16 PM


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